Shenandoah County GOP

It’s tightening up…..
October 25, 2008, 2:45 pm
Filed under: Election 2008, MSM, Polling

From Delegate Chris Saxman (hat tip to Suzanne Curran:

Over the past few weeks, I have heard from many of you expressing concern and frustration over polling numbers. And while the other side is trying to distract voters by spending millions of dollars to plan a huge election night party, our team is continuing our hard work of contacting voters and sharing Senator McCain’s and Governor Palin’s positive plans for America- and that work is paying off as reflected in a number of polls this week showing that this race is much closer than the main stream media would have us believe.
On the side bar, I have included several links to some of this week’s polling. Yesterday’s IBD/TIPP poll (which was found to be the most accurate pollster of the 2004 campaign season), showed the race tightening to just a 1.1% difference.
Earlier this week, many were surprised by an Associated Press-GfK poll, which also showed the race within 1%.
The truth is, this race is closing in fast, for many reasons:
  • Joe the Plumber exposed Obama’s ideology to where the press HAD to report it.
  • Voters are seeing that Obama is the most liberal member of the US Senate . There is no Teflon for a voting record to the LEFT of the only Socialist in the US Senate – Bernie Sanders.
  • Voters are recalling just what socialism is and what it means. (Marx believed that socialism represents the transition between capitalism and communism.)
  • Experience still matters.
  • Biden and Albright admitted that because Obama is so inexperienced America would be tested with an international crisis. Biden: “Watch, we’re going to have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy.”
  • Voters are realizing that Obama/Pelosi/Reid is a REALLY bad idea and that bipartisanship is necessary to fix our problems.
And finally, our message is coming home to voters because of you- because of our hard working volunteers who are out every day, knocking on doors, making phone calls, talking to their friends and family, and getting our message out. John McCain and Sarah Palin have the experience and the leadership to fix Washington, to get our economy back on track, to create jobs and to keep our country safe. They are the team we know and trust to fight for us, to fight with us, to fight for America.
In today’s TIPP poll, Obama expanded his lead to 3.5%, but looking at the sample size, that should be within the margin of error. Meanwhile, in our own little commonwealth, two consecutive polls shows McCain and Obama back within the margin of error, meaning this race isn’t quite done yet, even though NBC is moving Virginia into the “leans Obama ” column this weekend.
From NBC (yes, the very same NBC that is giving Obama the state this weekend) and Mason Dixon:

In the survey, Obama receives 47 percent of the vote compared to McCain’s 45 percent. But the survey indicates Obama has been gaining ground in Virginia. In a Mason-Dixon poll earlier this month, McCain led Obama by a margin of 48 percent to 45 percent.

The poll finds Obama with a 30 -point lead in Northern Virginia, 61 percent to 31 percent. McCain leads by 23 percentage points in the Shenandoah Valley, and by 15 points in Southwest Virginia. He holds a smaller 11-point edge in the Richmond media market, but Obama now has a 5-point advantage in the critical Hampton Roads region.

And from Winthrop/ETV:


All White Women Working Class Whites
McCain 43.6% 48.3% 53.7%
Obama 44.6% 40.5% 36.6%
Someone Else 2.1% 1.3% 1.5%
Undecided 5.9% 6% 7.5%
Refused 3.8% 3.9% 0.7%

It’s not over till Election Day. Do your part by volunteering for get-out-the-vote calls and knocks all next week and during the 72 Hour period, Click here to see where we need help, then click here to sign up for shifts. Be sure to denote which shifts you can work in the message box on our form.

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